Improving capital allocation to trading algorithms using Bayesian techniques (Ben Trubshaw, Tibra Capital)

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  • Wollongong Campus
    39c 174

National Institute for Applied Statistics Research Australia (NIASRA) is hosting a seminar on Thursday 22nd August, 2024

Time: 11:30 – 12:30
Speaker: Ben Trubshaw (Tibra ambassador)
Venue: room 39c-174

One of the biggest challenges in trading is managing the low signal-to-noise ratio in the market. Therefore, we use Kalman filtering to estimate the risk and return of trading algorithms based on historic data. We can then use the posterior distribution to appropriately weight newly researched algorithms against those that are proven. Finally, we assess the performance of these estimates using real algorithms that have potentially been overfitted.

Speaker

Ben Trubshaw is a Quantitative Trader currently working in the portfolio management team after spending seven years on signal research in Tibra Capital. Additionally, he works alongside Professor Sumeetpal Singh, to improve on the statistical techniques used within Tibra.